http://www.markettiming.nl/en_comments/20080707.php
Raymond A. Merriman ©何答：梅里曼©
Review and Preview審查和預覽
Stock indices around the world continued their decline last week.股票指數在世界各地繼續下降，上週。 Once again many indices made new yearly lows, while some did not.再次，許多指標取得了新的年度低點，而另一些沒有。
In Europe, the AEX of Netherlands, DAX of Germany, and SMI of Switzerland all broke to new yearly lows.在歐洲， AEX交易代號荷蘭，股市DAX德國，和瑞士的SMI的所有爆發新的年度低點。 However, the London FTSE did not.不過，倫敦金融時報沒有。 The later came close with last week’s low at 5358, just barely higher than the 5338 level of January 22.後來來密切與上週的低點5358 ，只是勉強高於5338的水平， 1月22日。
In Asia and the Far East, new yearly lows unfolded in Australia’s All Ordinaries Index as well as India’s NIFTY index.在亞洲和遠東，新的年度低點，展開在澳洲All Ordinaries指數，以及作為印度的漂亮指數。 Yet Japan’s Nikkei low of 13,119 on July 3 was only a correction of the prior rally from 11,691 on March 17 to the high of early June.然而，日本的日經指數的低點13119 7月3日，只是一個校正前集會從11691 3月17日向高6月初。 In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index managed to stay above its low of 2008 that occurred on March 18 at 20,572.在香港，恆生指數設法留在上述低2008年發生於三月十八日在20572 。 Last Thursday’s low was 21,163.上週四的低是21163 。
The divergence appeared in the United States as well.分歧出現在美國以及。 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to 11,157 on Thursday, still well below its January 22 low 11,634.道瓊斯30種工業股票平均價格指數下跌至11157對週四，仍遠低於其1月22日低11634 。 Yet the NASDAQ Composite only declined to 2227, well above its 2155 low of March 17.然而，那斯達克綜合指數只下降到2227年，遠高於其2155年的低點3月17日。 Thus we have a case where many of these indices are suggesting that the very long-term 72-year cycles may be starting.因此，我們有很多的情況下，這些指數是暗示非常長遠的72年週期可能開始。 But until all the other indices of these regions also break down, there remains hope for the bulls in what is known as “Intermarket Bullish Divergence.” Such a situation creates an environment of confusion for both analysts and investors alike, as suggested by the well-known market reviewer Mark Hulbert (Hulbert Financial Digest, Annandale, VA) in his latest posting titled: “Dow Theorists Disagree: Stock market as confusing to them as everyone else.” In terms of cycle’s theory, as postulated in prior issues of our SOS Global Stock Markets report, I can state from experience that the longer the market cycle that is due, the more bizarre the technical indicators and chart patterns become.但在此之前的所有其他指數，這些地區也打破，仍然存在著希望，公牛在什麼是被稱為“跨市場看漲的分歧” 。這種情況下創建一個環境混亂，雙方分析師和投資者一樣，作為所提出的，以及眾所周知，市場查察馬克投資通訊（金融投資通訊月刊，安南岱爾， VA部）在其最新發布標題為： “道瓊工業指數理論家不同意：股市混亂，他們與其他人” 。在條款週期的理論，作為假設在事先問題我們的SOS全球股市的報告，我可以從國家的經驗表明，較長的市場週期，這是由於，更奇怪的各項技術指標和圖表模式成為。 Markets will be fraught with false buy and sell signals at the top and at the bottom.市場將充滿了虛假的購買和出售的信號在頂部和底部。 A 72-year cycle is something very few have ever seen before. 72年週期是極少數前所未有。 Hence I would expect the patterns that form once the downside of this cycle starts, it will unfold unlike anything we have ever seen before.因此，我期望的模式，形成一旦負面的這個週期啟動時，它會展現不同於任何我們所見過的前。 Nobody will get it just right because there will be no precedence.沒有人會得到公正的權利，因為將不會有任何先例。 But I also believe that Financial Astrology will yield greater insights and understanding than almost any other subject dealing with this matter.但我也相信，金融占星術會帶來更大的見解和認識，幾乎比任何其他科目處理這件事。 Well, let me qualify that: it will yield as much insight as one could imagine, given that Saturn and Uranus will be in opposition for the next two years.好，讓我有資格說：它會帶來多有識之士作為一個能想像，由於土星和天王星將在反對為未來兩年。 With Uranus, at least we know that the bizarre and unexpected is the norm.與天王星，至少我們知道，奇怪的和意想不到的是規範。
In other markets, Crude Oil reached another new all-time high last week at $145.85/barrel, which is within the $144/barrel +/- $8.00 level given at the recent talk at the UAC conference in Denver on May 17.在其他市場，原油達成的另一項新的全時間的高上週美元145.85/barrel ，這是內部元144/barrel + / -$ 8 .00水平，由於在最近的談話在的U AC會議在丹佛5月1 7日。 Gold, Silver and foreign currencies also rallied strongly for much of last week, although the Euro currency and Gold fell rather hard on Thursday.金，銀，外幣，也凝聚強烈的大部分上週，雖然歐元貨幣和黃金下跌，而不是努力，週四。 Still, Gold could not close above 950.00, a very important price resistance level.還有，黃金無法關閉上述950.00 ，一個很重要的價格抗性水平。
Short-Term Geocosmics短期geocosmics
We are still in this huge time band of geocosmic signatures extending from June 12 through July 14.我們仍然在這個巨大的時間帶geocosmic簽名延長，從6月12日通過7月14日。 The midpoint was last weekend, June 28.中點是上週末， 6月28日。 But this past week was a pre-holiday week, and it is not unusual for trends to continue during such a week.不過，這過去的一周是一個前週假期，這是不尋常的趨勢繼續在這樣的一個星期。 The next 6 trading days will find three Level 1 signatures in effect.接下來的6個交易日就會發現3 1級的簽名生效。 These are the strongest correlates to reversals in financial markets, according to the studies reported in “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing” series , by yours truly.這些都是最強的相關逆轉，在金融市場，根據該研究報告在“最終此書對股市的時機”系列 ，由此致。 The first of these signatures may be the most important.第一，這些簽名，可能是最重要的。 That is the powerful Sun-Jupiter opposition of July 9.這是強大的太陽-木星的反對， 7月9日。 As stated last week, “ The Sun-Jupiter opposition is particularly interesting because it has a 75% correlation to primary or greater cycles within 10 trading days.正如上週， “太陽-木星的反對，尤其是有趣的，因為它有一個75 ％的相關性，以小學或更大的週期在10個交易日。 Like Uranus turning retrograde, this is one of the strongest signatures correlating with reversals in stock indices. 像天王星至於倒退，這是其中一個最強勁的簽名，與相關的逆轉的股票指數。 It can correlate with powerful price moves, like 200+ point up or down days within only 4 trading days in the DJIA. 它可以關聯具有強大的價格動作，像200 +點，向上或向下天，只有4個交易日，在道指。 The Mars-Saturn conjunction (July 10) has a high correlation to extreme temperatures in weather. 火星，土星聯（七月十日）有很高的相關性，以極端的溫度在天氣。 At this time of year, it usually corresponds to hot and dry conditions, which would be a relief in the flooded grain belt. 在每年的這個時候，通常會對應到幹熱的條件，這將是一個救濟在被洪水淹沒的糧食帶。 It can correspond to primary or greater cycles in grain prices within 10 trading days. 它可以對應到小學或更大的週期，在糧食價格在10個交易日。 Geopolitically, this same signature can also correspond to wars or protests – even strikes – by workers, because it is in Virgo, sign of labor. 地緣政治的，這同樣的簽名也可以對應到戰爭或抗議-甚至罷工-工人，因為它是在處女座，簽署勞動。 It highlights a sense of social inequities, especially between labor and management.” To those thoughts, we should add that the Sun-Jupiter opposition might have a correlation also with Crude Oil prices, since Jupiter is one of the two planets ruling crude oil (Neptune is the other). 它突出了意識，社會不平等現象，特別是之間的勞動和管理“ ，這些想法，我們要補充一點，就是太陽-木星的反對可能有相關，也與原油價格，由於木星的就是其中的兩個行星的裁決原油（海王星是其他） 。
The third Level 1 signature is the Sun-Uranus trine of July 14.第三個層次一簽字就是太陽-天王星trine的7月14日。 In other words, financial astrology still allows for a major market reversal in the next few trading days, if it didn’t already begin last week.在其他換言之，金融占星術仍然允許為主要的市場逆轉，在未來數個交易日，若沒有，已經開始在上星期。
Longer-Term Thoughts較長遠的思考
We will continue with our thoughts on long-term planetary cycles, and how their themes tie into the two USA presidential candidates.我們將繼續與我們的想法，就長遠的行星週期，以及如何配合他們的主題，把兩個美國總統候選人。
This week I would like to address the subject of Pluto moving into early Capricorn, and the relationship of that event to the chart of the Federal Reserve Board chart.這個星期我想解決的課題冥王星遷入早在南迴歸線，和的關係，這一事件，以圖表的美國聯邦儲備委員會的圖表。 Pluto’s orbit the Sun is 248 years.冥王星的軌道太陽是248年。 The Federal Reserve Board was officially created on December 23, 1913, when the Sun was at 1 degree of Capricorn, and Pluto was at 0 degree of Cancer, an opposition.美國聯邦儲備委員會正式創建於1913年12月23日，當太陽在一程度的南迴歸線，冥王星是在0度的癌症，一個反對黨。 This will be the first time that transiting Pluto has entered into conjunction to the natal Sun of the FRB, and opposition to its natal Pluto.這將是第一次，過境冥王星已進入聯向納塔爾孫的frb ，並反對其納塔爾冥王星。
As a transit, Pluto represents the urge to terminate or drastically change the entity whose Sun it conjuncts.作為一個過境，冥王星代表呼籲終止或大幅改變實體，其太陽conjuncts 。 The Sun in a chart also represents its leader, or in this case, the chair of the FRB.太陽在一張圖表，也代表了其領導人，或在這種情況下，主持會議的frb 。 Pluto will be transiting the natal Sun-Pluto opposition of the FRB chart for about one year almost immediately following the election.冥王星將過境納塔爾太陽冥王星的反對，該frb圖約一年幾乎可以立即在選舉之後。 If the force of Pluto signifies the possibility to terminate the position of the current FRB chair, or the entity of the FRB itself, then we can ask ourselves: which President would be most likely to do that?如果武力冥王星的標誌的可能性，終止的立場，目前frb椅子，或實體的frb本身，那麼我們可以問自己：總統將最有可能這樣做呢？ The Democrat, Barack Obama, or the Republican, John McCain?民主黨，巴拉克奧巴馬，或共和黨，約翰麥凱恩？ Since the current head of the FRB was appointed by the Republican President George W. Bush, I think it is not so likely that another Republican would dismiss him.由於目前的頭部的frb被任命由共和黨總統布什，我覺得這是並非如此，可能是另一個共和黨將辭退他。 By logical deduction, a decision to not re-appoint the current FRB chair, or even the urge to ask him to resign, is more likely to happen if a Democrat is elected as the next USA President.由合乎邏輯的推論，決定不重新任命目前frb椅子，或什至呼籲，要求他辭職，是更可能發生，如果民主黨當選為下屆美國總統。 Thus this signature seems to also suggest Barack Obama would be the next USA president.因此，這個簽名似乎也建議巴拉克奧巴馬將成為明年美國總統。
But wait a minute.但是且慢。 John McCain is on record for wanting to radically change the individual income tax structure, and maybe even do away with it altogether.麥凱恩是在紀錄上，為要徹底改變個人所得稅的結構，甚至取消它完全。 This too could greatly alter the structure of the Federal Reserve Board.這也可以大大改變結構的聯邦儲備局。
But I wonder: which candidate would be most likely to take away the power of the FRB to create the actual USA currency?但我懷疑：哪位候選人將最有可能帶走的權力，該frb創造的實際美國的貨幣呢？ And perhaps give that power back to Congress, which had that power prior to 1913?也許，讓權力回到國會，其中的權力之前， 1913年呢？ If one candidate holds that position, that might be the candidate who plays most closely to theme of transiting Pluto over the RRB natal Sun opposite Pluto signature.如果一名候選人認為，立場，即可能的候選人誰最密切的發揮，以主題過境冥王星超過rrb納塔爾孫對面的冥王星的簽名。
沒有留言:
張貼留言